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Next Raises Guidance In Q3 Trading Update
Next has published a third-quarter trading update for the three months ended 28th October.
- Full price sales1 in the third quarter (August - October) were up +4.0% on last year, £23m ahead of our guidance which was to be up +2.0%.
- We are increasing our full year guidance for profit before tax by +£10m to £885m.
1. Full price sales are VAT exclusive sales of items sold at full price in Retail and Online plus NEXT Finance interest income. They exclude items sold in Sale events, Clearance operations and through Total Platform. Full price sales are not statutory sales.
FULL PRICE SALES PERFORMANCE BY BUSINESS DIVISION
Full price sales performance versus last year, by business division, is set out below for the third quarter and the year to date.
Full price sales by division versus last year | Q3 to 28 October | Year to 28 October |
Online | +6.5% | +4.9% |
Retail | - 0.6% | +0.4% |
Total Product full price sales | +3.8% | +3.2% |
Finance interest income | +7.2% | +7.1% |
Total full price sales inc. interest income | +4.0% | +3.5% |
FULL PRICE SALES GROWTH BY WEEK
The chart below shows the performance by week during the third quarter. As can be seen, sales growth has been variable. We believe the volatility in sales performance is a result of changing weather conditions rather than any underlying changes in the consumer economy. In an Autumn season cooler weather is good for sales, warmer than average weather depresses sales. Over time the average performance is a better indicator of underlying consumer demand than any one week.
GUIDANCE FOR FULL PRICE SALES, PROFIT AND EARNINGS PER SHARE
Our revised guidance for full year full price sales growth is now +3.1%; this assumes that full price sales for the rest of the year are up +2.0%. Profit generated from the additional sales achieved in the third quarter has added £10m to our full year forecast for profit before tax.
Our revised full year guidance is set out below. For completeness, our previous guidance is shown in grey.
Full year guidance | New guidance | Versus last year |
| Previous guidance | Versus last year |
Full price sales | £4.74bn | +3.1% |
| £4.72bn | +2.6% |
Group2 profit before tax (before exceptionals) | £885m | +1.7% |
| £875m | +0.5% |
Pre-tax EPS (before exceptionals) | 730.2p | +4.1% |
| 723.9p | +3.2% |
Post-tax EPS (before exceptionals) | 557.7p | - 2.7% |
| 552.9p | - 3.6% |
2. Group profit before tax excludes the minority interests in Joules, Reiss and FatFace. This is therefore the profit attributable to shareholders of NEXT plc.
An exceptional gain of £110m
As set out in our Half Year Results in September, the acquisition of an additional equity stake in Reiss this year will result in an exceptional accounting gain (non-cash) of around £110m. This gain will be treated as exceptional and is excluded from the headline profit and EPS numbers given above. Full details of the transaction and the accounting gain were given on page 59 of our Half Year Results.
CHRISTMAS TRADING STATEMENT
We are scheduled to give an update on sales to Saturday 30 December on Thursday 4 January 2024.
Source : Next PLC
Thank you for the excellent presentation that you gave at Woodbury Park on Thursday morning. It was very interesting and thought-provoking for our Retail members. The feedback has been excellent.
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